Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 6.72 | $0.585 | $3.34 | -$0.59 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.74 | $0.740 | $2.77 | Apr 5, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.75 |
| $0.750 |
| $2.81 |
| Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 6.72 | $0.585 | $3.93 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5.38 | $0.641 | $3.45 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.659 | $3.55 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.33 | $0.530 | $2.82 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.540 | $2.88 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.37 | $0.570 | $4.2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.38 | $0.580 | $4.28 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 3.61 | $0.300 | $1.08 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.310 | $1.12 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.520 | $3.82 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.540 | $3.97 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.610 | $3.36 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.51 | $0.550 | $3.03 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1.89 | $0.560 | $1.06 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.590 | $1.12 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | sell | 5.03 | $0.190 | $0.96 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.270 | $1.36 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.78 | $0.540 | $2.58 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.78 | $0.550 | $2.63 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.620 | $1.88 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.630 | $1.91 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.76 | $0.420 | $1.58 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.430 | $1.62 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 5.93 | $0.670 | $3.97 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 5.93 | $0.680 | $4.03 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.670 | $1.35 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.680 | $1.38 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | sell | 5.76 | $0.270 | $1.56 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.260 | $1.5 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 8.07 | $0.427 | $3.45 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 8.07 | $0.436 | $3.52 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.550 | $1.23 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.570 | $1.28 | May 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 3.6 | $0.620 | $2.23 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.650 | $2.34 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 9.56 | $0.480 | $4.59 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.56 | $0.500 | $4.78 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 9.15 | $0.460 | $4.21 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 9.15 | $0.470 | $4.3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 2.55 | $0.690 | $1.76 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.700 | $1.79 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?No | sell | 8.31 | $0.420 | $3.49 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?No | buy | 8.32 | $0.440 | $3.66 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.470 | $2.59 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.480 | $2.64 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.560 | $1.8 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.580 | $1.87 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?Yes | sell | 1.83 | $0.700 | $1.28 | Mar 4, 2025 |