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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 71 | $0.996 | $70.68 | -$0.04 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 71 | $0.996 | $70.72 | 15h ago |
|
| buy |
| 70.7 |
| $0.993 |
| $70.21 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 70.8 | $0.998 | $70.66 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 70.8 | $0.996 | $70.52 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.698 | $70.5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.706 | $71.31 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 78 | $0.915 | $71.37 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 78 | $0.916 | $71.45 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No | sell | 71 | $0.999 | $70.93 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No | buy | 71 | $0.998 | $70.86 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 71.5 | $0.996 | $71.21 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No | buy | 71.2 | $0.983 | $69.99 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.999 | $69.93 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 69 | $0.999 | $68.93 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 69.8 | $0.999 | $69.73 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 70 | $0.992 | $69.44 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 70 | $0.994 | $69.58 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?No | buy | 69.93 | $0.998 | $69.79 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 70.21 | $0.993 | $69.72 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 70.21 | $0.995 | $69.86 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 70 | $0.998 | $69.86 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 70 | $0.997 | $69.79 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.999 | $1.05K | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.999 | $1.05K | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.998 | $1.05K | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.999 | $1.05K | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.999 | $1.05K | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.999 | $1.04K | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 4?No | buy | 148.23 | $0.999 | $148.08 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 16.88 | $0.997 | $16.83 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 52.16 | $0.997 | $52 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.996 | $10.21 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No | buy | 10.51 | $0.999 | $10.5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No | buy | 51.05 | $0.999 | $51 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 20.64 | $0.999 | $20.62 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 51.05 | $0.999 | $51 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 91.61 | $0.999 | $91.52 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $104,000 on November 23?No | buy | 91.52 | $0.999 | $91.43 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 39.38 | $0.999 | $39.34 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 52.05 | $0.999 | $52 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 19?No | buy | 91.34 | $0.999 | $91.25 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 90.14 | $0.999 | $90.05 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 46°F or below on November 16?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.996 | $1.1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 80.16 | $0.999 | $80.08 | Nov 14, 2025 |