Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 2.51K | $0.810 | $2.17K | +$138.49 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.6K |
| $0.769 |
| $2.03K |
| +$29.07 |
| Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 2.67K | $0.750 | $1.99K | -$13.33 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | Yes | 2.16K | $0.797 | $1.5K | -$220.83 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 1.61K | $0.830 | $1.36K | +$24.21 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 1.58K | $0.800 | $1.23K | -$39.59 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 1.45K | $0.690 | $1.13K | +$130.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.14K | $0.880 | $1.03K | +$28.43 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 1.73K | $0.580 | $905.63 | -$94.88 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1K | $0.852 | $777.53 | -$76.94 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 773.9 | $0.840 | $665.55 | +$15.48 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | No | 793.65 | $0.630 | $603.17 | +$103.18 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 444.09 | $0.624 | $348.61 | +$71.59 |
| Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 625 | $0.480 | $303.13 | +$3.13 |
| Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 1.16K | $0.430 | $296.51 | -$203.49 |
 Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.330 | $295 | -$35 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | No | 487.12 | $0.810 | $265.48 | -$129.09 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | $0.700 | $227.5 | -$122.5 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | Yes | 258.78 | $0.672 | $181.15 | +$7.22 |
 Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? | No | 300 | $0.550 | $156 | -$9 |
 Will Trump attend UFC 331? | No | 137.57 | $0.906 | $133.38 | +$8.73 |
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%? | Under | 235.29 | $0.850 | $123.53 | -$76.47 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 109.59 | $0.850 | $100.28 | +$7.12 |
 Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026? | No | 75.61 | $0.793 | $65.4 | +$5.4 |
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%? | Over | 300 | $0.380 | $58.5 | -$55.5 |
| buy |
| 1.16K |
| $0.430 |
| $500 |
| 3d ago |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?Under | buy | 235.29 | $0.850 | $200 | 3d ago |
| Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 2.67K | $0.750 | $2K | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.480 | $300 | 3d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 333.75 | $0.800 | $267 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.800 | $210 | 3d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.800 | $1K | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.786 | $815 | 18d ago |
 Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 21d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No | sell | 250 | $0.002 | $0.5 | 21d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | sell | 179.84 | $0.008 | $1.44 | 21d ago |
 Will MrBeast hit 138.5 billion views by August 31?No | sell | 150 | $0.013 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No | buy | 793.65 | $0.630 | $500 | 24d ago |
| Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?No | buy | 75.61 | $0.794 | $60 | 26d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | 26d ago |
 Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | 26d ago |
| Will MrBeast hit 516 million subscribers by August 31?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.300 | $9 | 27d ago |
| Will MrBeast hit 138.5 billion views by August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | 29d ago |
| Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31?No | sell | 15.73 | $0.010 | $0.16 | 29d ago |
| Will MrBeast hit 138.5 billion views by August 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.022 | $2.23 | 29d ago |
| Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31?No | sell | 253.96 | $0.010 | $2.64 | 29d ago |
 Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 79.82 | $0.876 | $69.96 | 29d ago |
| Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31?Yes | buy | 33.49 | $0.896 | $30 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31?Yes | buy | 55.99 | $0.893 | $50 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31?Yes | buy | 56.14 | $0.891 | $50 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.247 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31?No | buy | 111.27 | $0.099 | $11 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 143.22 | $0.698 | $100 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 299.99 | $0.980 | $293.99 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.982 | $294.6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.500 | $76.92 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 59.84 | $0.836 | $50 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 100 | $0.943 | $94.32 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Wizkid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 102.08 | $0.980 | $100 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 51.13 | $0.978 | $50 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.988 | $98.78 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?No | sell | 25.01 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.130 | $12.95 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?No | buy | 51 | $0.990 | $50.49 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.660 | $330 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 103.22 | $0.969 | $100 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Kanye West attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | sell | 90.95 | $0.994 | $90.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | sell | 220.34 | $0.200 | $44.12 | Jul 10, 2026 |