Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026? | No | 55 | $0.977 | $53.16 | -$0.57 |
 Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.948 | $40.76 | Jun 29, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.982 |
| $48.53 |
| -$0.55 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | 49.99 | $0.974 | $48.37 | -$0.31 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.963 | $48.2 | +$0.03 |
 UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.961 | $48.1 | +$0.05 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 49.99 | $0.962 | $48.04 | -$0.06 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 47.51 | $0.954 | $45.39 | +$0.06 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 47.5 | $0.937 | $44.32 | -$0.2 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | No | 45.34 | $0.956 | $42.87 | -$0.47 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 45.01 | $0.915 | $42.08 | +$0.88 |
 Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 42.51 | $0.976 | $40.85 | -$0.64 |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? | No | 44.63 | $0.945 | $40.71 | -$1.46 |
 Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.862 | $34.2 | -$0.29 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 29.33 | $0.970 | $28.45 | -$0 |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 28.91 | $0.983 | $28.42 | -$0 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 27.04 | $0.978 | $26.42 | -$0.01 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | No | 27.05 | $0.975 | $26.32 | -$0.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 26.17 | $0.968 | $25.37 | +$0.05 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.93 | $0.923 | $24.25 | +$0.31 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 25 | $0.971 | $24.24 | -$0.03 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 25 | $0.938 | $23.88 | +$0.43 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 24.39 | $0.965 | $23.55 | +$0.01 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 25 | $0.906 | $23.13 | +$0.47 |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 25 | $0.918 | $22.88 | -$0.09 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 24.44 | $0.850 | $21.38 | +$0.62 |
| buy |
| 11 |
| $0.950 |
| $10.45 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.27 | $0.951 | $13.57 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.4 | $0.953 | $57.56 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.936 | $0.14 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 3.04 | $0.958 | $2.91 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.958 | $2.21 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.900 | $3.91 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 52.31 | $0.943 | $49.33 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.928 | $1.13 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes | buy | 770 | $0.997 | $767.69 | May 8, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.996 | $99.6 | May 8, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | May 6, 2026 |