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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 5.06 |
| $0.790 |
| $4 |
| Aug 7, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?Down | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in July?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 10?Yes | buy | 172.89 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 9?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.005 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 171.67 | $0.029 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |