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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 550.25K | $0.170 | $21.18K | -$72.11K |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 461.56 | $0.070 | $32.31 | May 1, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 5.37K |
| $0.639 |
| $778.28 |
| -$2.65K |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 9.49K | $0.186 | $569.63 | -$1.2K |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes | 6.38K | $0.258 | $350.77 | -$1.29K |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 734.23 | $0.062 | $26.07 | -$19.79 |
| buy |
| 370 |
| $0.180 |
| $66.6 |
| May 1, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | May 1, 2026 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.180 | $108 | May 1, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 835.55 | $0.140 | $116.98 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.180 | $10.8 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.180 | $54 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.180 | $360 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 4.77K | $0.090 | $429.26 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.170 | $340 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 16.72K | $0.032 | $535.05 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.25K | $0.031 | $69.6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.190 | $380 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 18.96K | $0.100 | $1.9K | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 15.83K | $0.070 | $1.11K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 42.11K | $0.003 | $114.21 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 16.5K | $0.003 | $49.5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.670 | $1.68K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.840 | $840 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.965 | $9.65 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 392.51 | $0.210 | $82.43 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 1.68K | $0.964 | $1.62K | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No | sell | 1.81K | $0.920 | $1.66K | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.44K | $0.252 | $361.58 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 11.54K | $0.560 | $6.46K | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | buy | 190.37 | $0.180 | $34.27 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.041 | $8.13 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.907 | $9.07 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 4.03K | $0.950 | $3.83K | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?No | sell | 2.92K | $0.983 | $2.87K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 451.31 | $0.930 | $419.72 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.959 | $9.59 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.840 | $4.2K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.840 | $4.2K | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 847.85 | $0.860 | $729.15 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 336.56 | $0.840 | $282.71 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.180 | $90 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.58K | $0.310 | $800.32 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 299.98 | $0.028 | $8.4 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.830 | $165.96 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.943 | $94.3 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.880 | $1.42K | Mar 5, 2026 |