Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.720 | $1.71 | -$0.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4AM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | 15d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 2.16 |
| $0.463 |
| $1.34 |
| +$0.34 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 10.31 | $0.097 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4.03 | $0.248 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
| buy |
| 2.78 |
| $0.720 |
| $2 |
| 15d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | 15d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 10.31 | $0.097 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 4.03 | $0.248 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.463 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.869 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.915 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.082 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.72 | $0.212 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 6.14 | $0.814 | $5 | May 2, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.310 | $0.35 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 54.9 | $0.550 | $30.2 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.73K | $0.583 | $2.18K | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 293.39 | $0.545 | $160 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 81.04 | $0.494 | $40 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | sell | 79 | $0.590 | $46.61 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | sell | 37.73 | $0.510 | $19.24 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 124.88 | $0.400 | $50 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 76.92 | $0.520 | $40 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 75.47 | $0.530 | $40 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 75.47 | $0.530 | $40 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 62.5 | $0.480 | $30 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 57.84 | $0.519 | $30 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 127.45 | $0.510 | $65 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |