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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 160 | $0.800 | $152.8 | +$24.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
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| No |
| 10 |
| $0.700 |
| $9.25 |
| +$2.25 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 200 | $0.053 | $1.6 | -$9 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 200 | $0.068 | $1.5 | -$12.1 |
| buy |
| 2.17 |
| $0.920 |
| $2 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.800 | $48 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.991 | $49.55 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.421 | $8.42 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | May 27, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 510 | $0.009 | $4.59 | May 25, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.036 | $3.56 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 24.81 | $0.403 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 110 | $0.962 | $105.82 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.983 | $9.83 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 110 | $0.945 | $103.95 | Oct 26, 2025 |