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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 129.79 | $0.971 | $126.03 | Mar 3, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 103.5 |
| $0.973 |
| $100.71 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 101.12 | $0.996 | $100.72 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.976 | $10.05 | Jan 10, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.999 | $10.04 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes | buy | 2.47K | $0.440 | $1.08K | Jan 1, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 101.12 | $0.989 | $100.01 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 136.2 | $0.790 | $107.6 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 59.56 | $0.942 | $56.11 | Nov 3, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.963 | $19.34 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 21.44 | $0.967 | $20.73 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 40.07 | $0.987 | $39.55 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 39.55 | $0.992 | $39.23 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?Yes | buy | 39.23 | $0.949 | $37.23 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 37.23 | $0.986 | $36.71 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 4–11?No | buy | 36.72 | $0.990 | $36.35 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 14.5 | $0.992 | $14.38 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 21.85 | $0.986 | $21.54 | Jun 28, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.92 | $0.974 | $34.99 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 34.99 | $0.992 | $34.71 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?Yes | buy | 34.71 | $0.950 | $32.97 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 16–23?No | buy | 32.98 | $0.997 | $32.88 | May 21, 2025 |
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.83K | $0.907 | $3.48K | May 16, 2025 |
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.81K | $0.909 | $3.46K | May 16, 2025 |
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.81K | $0.922 | $3.51K | May 16, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110000 on May 16?No | buy | 32.88 | $0.998 | $32.81 | May 16, 2025 |