Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:11 AM UTC.
Analytics
CedarLightPilot is down $1.62K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:11 AM UTC.
$25.78 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 7 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 431.42 | $0.897 | $386.77 | -$0.19 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 185.65 | $0.032 | $5.94 | 4h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 00:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 08:11 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 08:11 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 00:16 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $14.59K and losing ones cost $12.1K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.56K on “Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.57K on “Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 83 markets. Its open positions are worth $615.04 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 108.01 |
| $0.977 |
| $105.58 |
| +$0.04 |
 Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 76.1 | $0.979 | $74.5 | -$0.01 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 630.06 | $0.035 | $20.16 | -$1.7 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 142.21 | $0.130 | $19.2 | +$0.71 |
 Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 246.62 | $0.031 | $7.03 | -$0.56 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 21.22 | $0.080 | $1.8 | +$0.11 |
| buy |
| 11 |
| $0.910 |
| $10.01 |
| 8h ago |
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 218.75 | $0.030 | $6.56 | 8h ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 299.98 | $0.023 | $6.9 | 8h ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.910 | $7.41 | 10h ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 132.11 | $0.080 | $10.57 | 10h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 223.22 | $0.036 | $8.04 | 12h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 319.99 | $0.966 | $309.11 | 13h ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 102.54 | $0.898 | $92.08 | 14h ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 248.05 | $0.898 | $222.75 | 14h ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 140.67 | $0.090 | $12.66 | 15h ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 364.85 | $0.101 | $36.85 | 15h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.74 | $0.033 | $0.49 | 16h ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100.7 | $0.977 | $98.38 | 16h ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.28 | $0.977 | $17.86 | 16h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.033 | $0.05 | 16h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.033 | $0.05 | 16h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.033 | $0.05 | 16h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.033 | $0.05 | 16h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.033 | $0.06 | 16h ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.977 | $48.85 | 16h ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 199.32 | $0.977 | $194.73 | 16h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 169.27 | $0.033 | $5.59 | 17h ago |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes | buy | 132.86 | $0.021 | $2.79 | 17h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.6 | $0.130 | $15.29 | 17h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 247.84 | $0.130 | $32.22 | 17h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 271.92 | $0.860 | $233.85 | 18h ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 239.66 | $0.978 | $234.39 | 18h ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 42.92 | $0.884 | $37.94 | 19h ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 50 | $0.884 | $44.2 | 19h ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 168.09 | $0.884 | $148.59 | 19h ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 252.56 | $0.901 | $227.56 | 19h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 227.08 | $0.035 | $7.95 | 20h ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 238.64 | $0.979 | $233.63 | 20h ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 282.93 | $0.965 | $273.03 | 20h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 330.93 | $0.870 | $287.91 | 21h ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 119.53 | $0.910 | $108.77 | 23h ago |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No | buy | 74.36 | $0.979 | $72.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No | buy | 117.23 | $0.979 | $114.77 | 1d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 104.81 | $0.020 | $2.1 | 1d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.48 | $0.020 | $3.57 | 1d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.94 | $0.020 | $1.34 | 1d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 286.06 | $0.902 | $258.03 | 1d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 255.37 | $0.980 | $250.26 | 1d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 215.35 | $0.038 | $8.18 | 1d ago |
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?No | buy | 284.7 | $0.969 | $275.87 | 1d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 256.08 | $0.908 | $232.52 | 1d ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 121.77 | $0.080 | $9.74 | 1d ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 97.88 | $0.900 | $88.09 | 1d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 212.43 | $0.091 | $19.33 | 1d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.