Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 200.01 | $0.780 | $155.01 | -$1.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jets vs. TitansTitans | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | 7h ago |
Spread: Lions (-6.5) |
| No |
| 213.65 |
| $0.643 |
| $118.58 |
| -$18.85 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 140 | $0.658 | $105 | +$12.9 |
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 131.58 | $0.850 | $103.29 | -$8.55 |
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 86.67 | $0.873 | $84.85 | +$9.18 |
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 120 | $0.239 | $81 | +$52.3 |
Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.780 | $76.5 | -$1.5 |
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 95 | $0.730 | $66.98 | -$2.38 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 51.99 | $0.524 | $42.89 | +$15.62 |
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 115.09 | $0.050 | $41.61 | +$35.85 |
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? | Yes | 50 | $0.750 | $37.25 | -$0.25 |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Yes | 50.24 | $0.721 | $26.12 | -$10.11 |
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.425 | $26 | -$8 |
Bears vs. Panthers: O/U 47.5 | Under | 48.08 | $0.520 | $25.72 | +$0.72 |
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | Yes | 100 | $0.089 | $24.45 | +$15.55 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 166.65 | $0.147 | $22.5 | -$2 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.145 | $21.5 | +$7 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.610 | $21.5 | -$39.5 |
Packers vs. Vikings | Vikings | 37.04 | $0.540 | $19.81 | -$0.19 |
Spread: Lions (-6.5) | Lions | 37.04 | $0.540 | $19.81 | -$0.19 |
Jets vs. Titans | Titans | 38.46 | $0.520 | $19.81 | -$0.19 |
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 40 | $0.694 | $19 | -$8.77 |
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $18.2 | +$0.4 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August? | Yes | 39.99 | $0.558 | $16.42 | -$5.92 |
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | No | 99.99 | $0.365 | $16 | -$20.5 |
| buy |
| 37.04 |
| $0.540 |
| $20 |
| 8h ago |
Packers vs. VikingsVikings | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | 8h ago |
Bears vs. Panthers: O/U 47.5Under | buy | 48.08 | $0.520 | $25 | 8h ago |
Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5Over | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 8h ago |
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.570 | $3.02 | 16h ago |
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No | buy | 118.65 | $0.570 | $67.63 | 16h ago |
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenFrances Tiafoe | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | 1d ago |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz AND Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 3.5 | buy | 92.82 | $0.419 | $38.87 | 1d ago |
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 1d ago |
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 45.55 | $0.150 | $6.83 | 1d ago |
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.730 | $69.35 | 1d ago |
Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | 1d ago |
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | 1d ago |
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 133 | $0.810 | $107.73 | 1d ago |
Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes | buy | 140.91 | $0.090 | $12.68 | 1d ago |
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 21.91 | $0.550 | $12.05 | 1d ago |
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 2d ago |
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 2d ago |
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.220 | $24.2 | 2d ago |
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | buy | 138 | $0.640 | $88.32 | 3d ago |
Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 49.33 | $0.429 | $21.16 | 3d ago |
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.820 | $20.5 | 3d ago |
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-06?No | buy | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | 3d ago |
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | 5d ago |
Set Handicap: Darderi (-2.5) vs Sweeny (+2.5)Sweeny | buy | 70.47 | $0.639 | $45 | 5d ago |
Zandschulp vs. Minaur: Match O/U 36.5Over | buy | 21.64 | $0.500 | $10.82 | 6d ago |
Set Handicap: Musetti (-2.5) vs Sweeny (+2.5)Musetti | buy | 69.23 | $0.650 | $45 | 7d ago |
US Open WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena OstapenkoTatjana Maria | buy | 51.02 | $0.490 | $25 | 7d ago |
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Stan WawrinkaMatteo Berrettini | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | 9d ago |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20–$2.30 in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 9d ago |
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio BuseIgnacio Buse | buy | 106.62 | $0.470 | $50.11 | 13d ago |
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?BSW | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 13d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.120 | $8 | 13d ago |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh BasavareddyMoise Kouame | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | 15d ago |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh BasavareddyMoise Kouame | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | 15d ago |
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?Over | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 15d ago |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Lukas Neumayer AND US Open, Qualification ATP: Moez Echargui vs Hugo Dellien | buy | 87.65 | $0.444 | $38.92 | 15d ago |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?No | sell | 133.47 | $0.960 | $128.13 | 15d ago |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Jordan LeeJordan Lee | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | 15d ago |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Elias Ymer vs Cristian GarinCristian Garin | buy | 55.56 | $0.540 | $30 | 15d ago |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.730 | $5.84 | 17d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 18d ago |
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 18d ago |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 18d ago |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 257.37 | $0.332 | $85.44 | 18d ago |
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.370 | $6.29 | 19d ago |
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?No | buy | 60 | $0.620 | $37.2 | 19d ago |
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon NakashimaTaylor Fritz | buy | 62.5 | $0.640 | $40 | 19d ago |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | 20d ago |