Latest trade
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 7:56 PM UTC.
Analytics
Instructive-Friction has made $4.6K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 7:56 PM UTC.
$8.2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Oct 17, 2026 UTC to Oct 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK? | No | 435 | $0.713 | $311.02 | +$0.79 |
 Will Mardin 1969 Spor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu end in a draw? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 865 | 1 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK?No | buy | 138.28 | $0.720 | $99.56 | just now |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-07 10:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 19:56 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 19:56 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-07 10:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $8.97K and losing ones cost $5.29K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.16K on “Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.14K on “Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?” (Yes).
It first traded on 7 Feb 2026 and most recently on 26 Oct 2026. It has traded 206 markets. Its open positions are worth $728.89 across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 157.5 |
| $0.635 |
| $157.42 |
| +$57.46 |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5 | Under | 515.02 | $0.236 | $139.06 | +$17.67 |
 Exact Score: Maccabi Haifa FC 0 - 3 Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC? | No | 50 | $0.806 | $49.98 | +$9.68 |
 Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi FC 3 - 1 Al Gharafa SC? | No | 44.44 | $0.810 | $44.42 | +$8.42 |
| Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw? | No | 21.38 | $0.870 | $17.64 | -$0.96 |
 Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.982 | $4.94 | +$0.03 |
| Al Qadsiah vs. Al Sadd SC: Both Teams to Score | No | 5.55 | $0.640 | $3.27 | -$0.28 |
 Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.800 | $0.6 | -$5.8 |
| Al Ahli Saudi FC vs. Al Gharafa SC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 343.16 | $0.059 | $0.17 | -$20.23 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 0.13 | $0.821 | $0.12 | +$0.01 |
 CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: CD Santa Clara 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Under | 214 | $0.050 | $0.11 | -$10.59 |
| Will Mardin 1969 Spor win on 2026-10-26? | No | 171.5 | $0.300 | $0.09 | -$51.36 |
| Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 80 | $0.100 | $0.04 | -$7.96 |
 FC København vs. Odense BK: Odense BK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Under | 27.11 | $0.280 | $0.01 | -$7.58 |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Galatasaray SK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Under | 13.82 | $0.330 | $0.01 | -$4.55 |
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under| buy |
| 138.51 |
| $0.274 |
| $37.99 |
| just now |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 138.07 | $0.237 | $32.75 | just now |
| Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK?No | buy | 140.23 | $0.710 | $99.56 | just now |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 162.19 | $0.210 | $34.06 | just now |
| Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK?No | buy | 140.23 | $0.710 | $99.56 | just now |
| Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK?No | buy | 16.27 | $0.710 | $11.55 | just now |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 18.57 | $0.210 | $3.9 | just now |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 57.68 | $0.220 | $12.69 | just now |
| Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?No | buy | 21.38 | $0.870 | $18.6 | 5m ago |
| Al Qadsiah vs. Al Sadd SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 5.55 | $0.640 | $3.55 | 8m ago |
| CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: CD Santa Clara 1st Half O/U 0.5Under | buy | 214 | $0.050 | $10.7 | 37m ago |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Galatasaray SK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under | buy | 13.82 | $0.330 | $4.56 | 41m ago |
| Exact Score: Maccabi Haifa FC 0 - 3 Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC?No | buy | 50 | $0.806 | $40.3 | 1h ago |
| Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 80 | $0.100 | $8 | 1h ago |
 Darderi vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 23.5Under | buy | 49.35 | $0.600 | $29.61 | 1h ago |
| Darderi vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 22.5Over | buy | 53.35 | $0.370 | $19.74 | 1h ago |
| FC København vs. Odense BK: Odense BK 1st Half O/U 0.5Under | buy | 27.11 | $0.280 | $7.59 | 1h ago |
| Will Mardin 1969 Spor vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu end in a draw?No | buy | 157.5 | $0.635 | $99.96 | 1h ago |
| Will Mardin 1969 Spor win on 2026-10-26?No | buy | 171.5 | $0.300 | $51.45 | 1h ago |
| Al Ahli Saudi FC vs. Al Gharafa SC: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 280 | $0.030 | $8.4 | 1h ago |
| Al Ahli Saudi FC vs. Al Gharafa SC: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 63.16 | $0.190 | $12 | 1h ago |
| Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi FC 3 - 1 Al Gharafa SC?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.810 | $36 | 2h ago |
| Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Rams Başakşehir FK | buy | 11.03 | $0.400 | $4.41 | 2h ago |
| Set 1 Winner: Arthur Fery vs Jacob FearnleyJacob Fearnley | buy | 20.23 | $0.218 | $4.42 | 2h ago |
| Mohun Bagan Super Giant to score first vs. Chennaiyin FC?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 4h ago |
| Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-10-26?No | buy | 7.08 | $0.360 | $2.55 | 4h ago |
| FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al-Ittihad Club: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 16 | $0.110 | $1.76 | 4h ago |
| FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al-Ittihad Club: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo | buy | 5.33 | $0.300 | $1.6 | 5h ago |
 Will Persebaya Surabaya win on 2026-10-26?No | buy | 20.45 | $0.440 | $9 | 6h ago |
| Will Persebaya Surabaya vs. Madura United end in a draw?No | buy | 19.41 | $0.510 | $9.9 | 6h ago |
 Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 24.55 | $0.106 | $2.6 | 15h ago |
| Exact Score: Los Angeles FC 3 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.330 | $0.05 | 16h ago |
 Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-10-25?Yes | buy | 18.15 | $0.520 | $9.44 | 16h ago |
 Will Angers SCO vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?Yes | buy | 9.15 | $0.940 | $8.6 | 1d ago |
| Exact Score: Angers SCO 0 - 0 FC Lorient?No | sell | 19.8 | $0.460 | $9.11 | 1d ago |
| Exact Score: Angers SCO 0 - 0 FC Lorient?No | buy | 19.8 | $0.500 | $9.9 | 1d ago |
 US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under | buy | 5.89 | $0.280 | $1.65 | 1d ago |
 Games Total: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 14 | $0.490 | $6.86 | 1d ago |
 Spread: Browns (-1.5)Browns | buy | 14.39 | $0.360 | $5.18 | 1d ago |
| Spread: Browns (-2.5)Titans | buy | 15.11 | $0.630 | $9.52 | 1d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.470 | $1.08 | 7d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.480 | $1.1 | 7d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.470 | $1.08 | 7d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.480 | $1.1 | 7d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.979 | $1.1 | 9d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.980 | $1.1 | 9d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.979 | $1.11 | 9d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.980 | $1.1 | 9d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.979 | $1.1 | 9d ago |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw? | buy | 21.38 | $0.870 | $18.6 | 5m ago |
| Al Qadsiah vs. Al Sadd SC: Both Teams to Score | buy | 5.55 | $0.640 | $3.55 | 8m ago |
| CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: CD Santa Clara 1st Half O/U 0.5 | buy | 214 | $0.050 | $10.7 | 37m ago |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Galatasaray SK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | buy | 13.82 | $0.330 | $4.56 | 41m ago |
| Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: O/U 3.5 | buy | 80 | $0.100 | $8 | 1h ago |
| Exact Score: Maccabi Haifa FC 0 - 3 Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC? | buy | 50 | $0.806 | $40.3 | 1h ago |
| Market details pending | buy | 49.35 | $0.600 | $29.61 | 1h ago |
| Market details pending | buy | 53.35 | $0.370 | $19.74 | 1h ago |
| Market details pending | buy | 27.11 | $0.280 | $7.59 | 1h ago |
| Market details pending | buy | 157.5 | $0.635 | $99.96 | 1h ago |
| Market details pending | buy | 171.5 | $0.300 | $51.45 | 1h ago |
| Market details pending | buy | 280 | $0.030 | $8.4 | 1h ago |
| Market details pending | buy | 63.16 | $0.190 | $12 | 1h ago |
| Market details pending | buy | 44.44 | $0.810 | $36 | 2h ago |
| Market details pending | buy | 11.03 | $0.400 | $4.41 | 2h ago |
| Market details pending | buy | 20.23 | $0.218 | $4.42 | 2h ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.