Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 34.51 | $0.290 | $1.55 | -$8.45 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 28.06 | $0.920 | $25.82 | 12d ago |
 |
Quiet-Awareness is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #205,052 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$144.03 observed lifetime PnL, 41 distinct markets, 25 resolved positions, a 92.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xc50cf7bfed7da23ae360e16019292f144c2ca08f
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 22.73 |
| $0.440 |
| $1.14 |
| -$8.86 |
| sell |
| 241.39 |
| $0.090 |
| $21.78 |
| Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 26.74 | $0.374 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No | buy | 45.92 | $0.218 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 33.71 | $0.890 | $30 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 78.65 | $0.890 | $70 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 61.54 | $0.650 | $40 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.680 | $18.88 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes | buy | 241.39 | $0.124 | $30 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.89 | $0.490 | $4.84 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 42.42 | $0.330 | $14 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 34.51 | $0.290 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.06 | $0.356 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.006 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 30.66 | $0.326 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.