Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | sell | 755.37 | $0.820 | $619.45 | 27d ago |
|
| sell |
| 133.04 |
| $0.900 |
| $119.74 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 106.35 | $0.914 | $97.25 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 180.1 | $0.540 | $97.25 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 180.1 | $0.600 | $108.06 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 68.55 | $0.972 | $66.65 | May 25, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | buy | 888.41 | $0.822 | $730.41 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 52.93 | $0.940 | $49.75 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 882.26 | $0.940 | $829.32 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 897.22 | $0.983 | $881.97 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 897.23 | $0.973 | $873 | May 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.51 | $0.690 | $10.01 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 11 | $0.910 | $10.01 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 950.03 | $0.940 | $893.03 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 899.32 | $0.993 | $893.02 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.14K | $0.160 | $502.92 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?No | sell | 511.69 | $0.983 | $502.93 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 516.81 | $0.880 | $454.79 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 462.65 | $0.983 | $454.78 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 359.87 | $0.025 | $9.1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 273.42 | $0.981 | $268.22 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?No | buy | 104.38 | $0.958 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | buy | 147.22 | $0.679 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 51.98 | $0.962 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 101.03 | $0.990 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?Yes | buy | 103.25 | $0.968 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 99.22 | $0.970 | $96.24 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 251.76 | $0.970 | $244.21 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - January 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.91 | $0.260 | $1.28 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.88 | $0.320 | $1.56 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.88 | $0.320 | $1.56 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.91 | $0.250 | $1.23 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7PM ETDown | buy | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 4.85 | $0.340 | $1.65 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 4.91 | $0.250 | $1.23 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 4.91 | $0.250 | $1.23 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.84 | $0.471 | $2.28 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.88 | $0.320 | $1.56 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.93 | $0.220 | $1.08 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.92 | $0.230 | $1.13 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.87 | $0.360 | $1.75 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.370 | $1.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.89 | $0.300 | $1.47 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.88 | $0.330 | $1.61 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.92 | $0.760 | $3.74 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.92 | $0.764 | $3.76 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.379 | $1.84 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.92 | $0.240 | $1.18 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.85 | $0.530 | $2.57 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.85 | $0.570 | $2.76 | Jan 30, 2026 |