Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.900 | $8.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 9 |
| $0.980 |
| $8.82 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 9 | $0.981 | $8.83 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.727 | $8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.937 | $7.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.936 | $7.49 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.939 | $7.51 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.860 | $7.74 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 18 | $0.440 | $7.92 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.910 | $0.91 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 9 | $0.910 | $8.19 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.680 | $5.44 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.555 | $29.97 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 49.48 | $0.194 | $9.6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 80.42 | $0.190 | $15.28 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.031 | $1.46 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.033 | $3.04 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.187 | $4.49 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.183 | $6.59 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.179 | $18.79 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 64 | $0.720 | $46.08 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.986 | $1.8 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.990 | $1.53 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.988 | $1.41 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.965 | $1.7 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "DEI" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?No | buy | 3 | $0.700 | $2.1 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?No | sell | 5 | $0.898 | $4.49 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.949 | $4.75 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Grimace vs. DoubleYouDoubleYou | buy | 6 | $0.310 | $1.86 | Feb 18, 2025 |