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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $0.41 | -$1.09 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.210 | $1.47 | 7d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 9.16 |
| $0.450 |
| $4.12 |
| 7d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.14 | $0.480 | $3.91 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 8.5 | $0.450 | $3.83 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.860 | $5.31 | 7d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.245 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.490 | $1.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.550 | $4.48 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in June?No | buy | 3 | $0.420 | $1.26 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.700 | $4.9 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.460 | $3.91 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.440 | $3.85 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | May 30, 2026 |