Latest trade
Jan 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:20 PM UTC.
Analytics
Nervous-Cross is down $19.96 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 35 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:20 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 26 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Nov 24, 2025 UTC to Jan 27, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27?Down | buy | 10.44 | $0.160 | $1.67 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-05 10:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 19:20 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 19:20 UTC
polymarket positions
37 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 10:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $14.43 and losing ones cost $10.82 across 35 settled positions. 74.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.79 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3PM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $2.94 on “Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 27 Jan 2026. It has traded 44 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 588.33 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.59 |
| Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.130 | $1.08 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 588.33 | $0.006 | $3.53 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 5PM ETDown | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 XRP Up or Down - November 29, 4PM ETUp | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12AM ETDown | sell | 1.44 | $0.910 | $1.31 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12AM ETDown | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 12PM ETDown | buy | 2.21 | $0.940 | $2.08 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 3AM ETDown | sell | 6.68 | $0.140 | $0.94 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 3AM ETDown | buy | 6.69 | $0.160 | $1.07 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2AM ETDown | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10PM ETUp | buy | 4.46 | $0.350 | $1.56 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10PM ETUp | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10PM ETUp | sell | 2 | $0.590 | $1.18 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10PM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9PM ETUp | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9PM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9PM ETUp | sell | 2 | $0.600 | $1.2 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9PM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 8PM ETDown | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 8PM ETDown | sell | 3.7 | $0.400 | $1.48 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 8PM ETDown | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 8PM ETUp | sell | 1.85 | $0.690 | $1.28 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 8PM ETUp | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 7PM ETDown | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 7PM ETUp | sell | 5.88 | $0.200 | $1.18 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 7PM ETUp | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3PM ETDown | buy | 5.97 | $0.580 | $3.46 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3PM ETDown | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 2AM ETUp | buy | 3.19 | $0.680 | $2.17 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8PM ETUp | sell | 2.43 | $0.650 | $1.58 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8PM ETUp | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 25?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 25?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 26?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 26?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 25?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9PM ETUp | buy | 4.17 | $0.960 | $4 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9PM ETDown | sell | 1.78 | $0.170 | $0.3 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9PM ETUp | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9PM ETDown | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 8PM ETUp | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 6PM ETUp | sell | 14.28 | $0.110 | $1.57 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 6PM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 6PM ETUp | sell | 2.56 | $0.430 | $1.1 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.