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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 413.68 | $0.618 | $283.37 | +$27.89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
| No |
| 179.5 |
| $0.861 |
| $177.89 |
| +$23.26 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 221 | $0.625 | $155.81 | +$17.64 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 172.26 | $0.814 | $149.01 | +$8.72 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 164 | $0.827 | $141.86 | +$6.21 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 143.5 | $0.818 | $131.3 | +$13.97 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 139.01 | $0.880 | $128.58 | +$6.26 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 128.34 | $0.850 | $121.28 | +$12.22 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 121.76 | $0.949 | $115.37 | -$0.14 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | Yes | 122 | $0.907 | $114.92 | +$4.24 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | 117 | $0.941 | $112.79 | +$2.73 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 131.49 | $0.870 | $110.45 | -$3.89 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 105 | $0.890 | $104.9 | +$11.45 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 107.98 | $0.908 | $103.93 | +$5.87 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | No | 119 | $0.920 | $103.53 | -$5.95 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 104 | $0.944 | $100 | +$1.8 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 110 | $0.810 | $90.75 | +$1.65 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91.29 | $0.932 | $87.68 | +$2.59 |
 Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-30? | No | 155.98 | $0.400 | $87.35 | +$24.96 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 86 | $0.840 | $84.28 | +$12.04 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 104 | $0.533 | $83.72 | +$28.28 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 88 | $0.873 | $83.12 | +$6.31 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 107 | $0.840 | $82.93 | -$6.96 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 91.7 | $0.837 | $81.16 | +$4.37 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 83 | $0.814 | $78.44 | +$10.88 |