Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.994 | $8.28 | Apr 6, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 33.33 |
| $0.150 |
| $5 |
| Mar 27, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.680 | $4.86 | Mar 22, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.99 | $0.700 | $4.89 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 13.92 | $0.350 | $4.87 | Mar 13, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 20.87 | $0.310 | $6.47 | Mar 5, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.87 | $0.479 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 110.86 | $0.370 | $41.02 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 110.86 | $0.451 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.670 | $93.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.780 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.160 | $4.71 | Feb 26, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.38 | $0.041 | $2.15 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETDown | buy | 2.87 | $0.680 | $1.95 | Feb 26, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 69.84 | $0.016 | $1.12 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | sell | 113.49 | $0.014 | $1.59 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.62 | $0.600 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp | sell | 11.72 | $0.990 | $11.6 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp | buy | 11.55 | $0.420 | $4.85 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp | sell | 3.08 | $0.999 | $3.08 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp | buy | 3.04 | $0.640 | $1.95 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.42 | $0.690 | $0.98 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.520 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.977 | $30.53 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.21 | $0.820 | $0.99 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.79 | $0.700 | $1.96 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp | buy | 8.19 | $0.240 | $1.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 2.26 | $0.430 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.48 | $0.660 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.98 | $0.490 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp | buy | 2.37 | $0.410 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETDown | buy | 2.87 | $0.340 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 3.78 | $0.260 | $0.98 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 38.5 | $0.104 | $4 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 |