Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.950 | $197.91 | Feb 28, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 297.37 |
| $0.084 |
| $25 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 314.1 | $0.064 | $20 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.052 | $65 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.076 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.82K | $0.036 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 628.19 | $0.024 | $15 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 471.32 | $0.042 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.17 | $0.238 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.110 | $66 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 719.89 | $0.069 | $50 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.035 | $50 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.112 | $122 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before August?Yes | buy | 465.15 | $0.021 | $10 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.070 | $80 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Yes | buy | 571.32 | $0.263 | $150 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 810.49 | $0.037 | $30 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before August?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 486.24 | $0.021 | $10 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high before 2026?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.550 | $458.33 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.240 | $0.03 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | sell | 8.05 | $0.460 | $3.7 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.006 | $15 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.006 | $20 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.005 | $20 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.007 | $20 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 5.25K | $0.004 | $21 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.009 | $20 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.018 | $20 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.024 | $60 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | sell | 3.6K | $0.018 | $64.87 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.037 | $40 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.028 | $20 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?No | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.013 | $25 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 4.71K | $0.017 | $80 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.033 | $40 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.018 | $40 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.030 | $20 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before August?Yes | buy | 743.64 | $0.269 | $200 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.110 | $120 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.034 | $50 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 2K | $0.010 | $20 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 429.81 | $0.233 | $100 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Yes | buy | 282.79 | $0.177 | $50 | Jun 28, 2025 |