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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.98 | $0.953 | $0.96 | +$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.063 | $0.32 | Jun 20, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 24 |
| $0.063 |
| $1.51 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.937 | $37.48 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 37 | $0.730 | $27.01 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.720 | $11.52 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 2 | $0.850 | $1.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.180 | $16.74 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 138 | $0.180 | $24.84 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 44 | $0.850 | $37.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 48 | $0.937 | $44.98 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 43 | $0.910 | $39.13 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 4 | $0.690 | $2.76 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.060 | $4.38 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.820 | $6.56 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.800 | $6.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 181 | $0.062 | $11.22 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 181 | $0.061 | $11.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 34 | $0.650 | $22.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.853 | $26.44 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.360 | $14.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.100 | $2.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.162 | $29.81 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.041 | $3.85 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 176 | $0.042 | $7.39 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 155 | $0.350 | $54.25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.310 | $48.05 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.330 | $23.76 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.290 | $10.44 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.290 | $3.19 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.290 | $20.3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.290 | $20.3 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.500 | $42.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 47 | $0.954 | $44.84 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 47.98 | $0.953 | $45.72 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.011 | $1.02 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.812 | $24.36 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.809 | $24.27 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.177 | $10.27 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.188 | $25.19 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.480 | $13.44 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.480 | $17.28 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.971 | $19.42 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.978 | $19.56 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.983 | $4.92 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Jun 14, 2025 |