Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.974 | $1.03 | 7d ago |
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| sell |
| 1.11 |
| $0.962 |
| $1.07 |
| 7d ago |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.962 | $1.07 | 7d ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.950 | $1.22 | 7d ago |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.949 | $1.65 | 7d ago |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.7 | $0.972 | $1.65 | 7d ago |
Human moon landing in 2026?No | sell | 2.51 | $0.992 | $2.49 | 7d ago |
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?No | buy | 8.41 | $0.950 | $7.99 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.936 | $1.3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | May 31, 2026 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | May 30, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 60B in Q1?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.995 | $1.74 | May 19, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.910 | $1.29 | May 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 144.46 | $0.525 | $75.77 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | sell | 83.74 | $0.973 | $81.5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 81.06 | $0.569 | $46.16 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 36.45 | $0.510 | $18.59 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 20.55 | $0.448 | $9.21 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETUp | buy | 17.29 | $0.540 | $9.34 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETDown | buy | 18.22 | $0.510 | $9.29 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 67.63 | $0.790 | $53.42 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 8.65 | $0.540 | $4.67 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 16.98 | $0.551 | $9.35 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.968 | $1.45 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.989 | $2.13 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.954 | $2.4 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.980 | $2.75 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.960 | $2.6 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.996 | $1.67 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 2.54 | $0.992 | $2.52 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Giulio Centenaro win the 2026 Selvazzano Dentro by-election?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Kanye West release a new song in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.99 | $0.983 | $1.96 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Drake release a new song in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.73 | $0.988 | $2.7 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.947 | $1.84 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in March?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.940 | $1.74 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.940 | $1.74 | Mar 17, 2026 |