Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.21K | $0.930 | $1.12K | Jul 14, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 20.16K |
| $0.031 |
| $625.11 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 514.79 | $0.035 | $18.02 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.040 | $46.04 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.670 | $20.1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.99K | $0.280 | $556.38 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.006 | $6.67 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.070 | $210 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.03K | $0.002 | $48.06 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | sell | 19.88 | $0.231 | $4.58 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | buy | 19.77 | $0.189 | $3.74 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | sell | 20 | $0.352 | $7.05 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown | buy | 19.37 | $0.499 | $9.67 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.489 | $9.47 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.489 | $9.47 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.509 | $9.86 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.489 | $9.47 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.014 | $140 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.56K | $0.015 | $38.4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24?Down | buy | 274.22 | $0.280 | $76.78 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 11 | $0.994 | $10.93 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 11 | $0.995 | $10.95 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?Up | sell | 38.41 | $0.030 | $1.15 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | sell | 37.05 | $0.005 | $0.19 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.54K | $0.470 | $2.13K | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.45K | $0.470 | $3.03K | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.45K | $0.460 | $2.97K | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 5.59K | $0.510 | $2.85K | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.99K | $0.510 | $1.52K | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.58K | $0.500 | $2.79K | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.85K | $0.530 | $980.5 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 866 | $0.370 | $320.42 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.44K | $0.630 | $2.17K | May 13, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.44K | $0.630 | $2.17K | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 31.77 | $0.630 | $20.02 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 40 | $0.630 | $25.2 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.07K | $0.380 | $406.69 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 44 | $0.330 | $14.52 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.340 | $398.45 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 171.35 | $0.049 | $8.4 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?No | sell | 1K | $0.220 | $220 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 4.94K | $0.015 | $74.12 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 585.83 | $0.020 | $11.72 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 458.24 | $0.240 | $109.98 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 495 | $0.264 | $130.68 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | sell | 40.12 | $0.795 | $31.9 | Apr 28, 2025 |