Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 117.14 | $0.983 | $115.15 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 195.19 |
| $0.975 |
| $190.31 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 154.27 | $0.700 | $107.99 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 44.68 | $0.942 | $42.09 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.966 | $14.86 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 14.89 | $0.993 | $14.79 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 29.67 | $0.977 | $28.99 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 29 | $0.988 | $28.65 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 420–434 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 28.64 | $0.987 | $28.27 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?No | buy | 28.27 | $0.987 | $27.9 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 27.9 | $0.985 | $27.48 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 27.48 | $0.970 | $26.66 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 4–11?No | buy | 26.66 | $0.979 | $26.1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?No | buy | 11.42 | $0.991 | $11.32 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 14.68 | $0.973 | $14.28 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.59 | $0.976 | $24.98 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 24.98 | $0.953 | $23.81 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.998 | $23.76 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1900 on May 16?No | buy | 23.77 | $0.998 | $23.72 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.66K | $0.968 | $3.55K | May 11, 2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.66K | $0.968 | $3.55K | May 11, 2025 |
 Will 'Fight or Flight' gross less than $0.9m opening weekend?No | buy | 23.72 | $0.999 | $23.7 | May 11, 2025 |