Latest trade
Jan 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 6:15 PM UTC.
Analytics
Firm-Lumberman is down $168.45 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 49 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 6:15 PM UTC.
$19.44 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 25 markets; 80.0% were buys. They run from Jan 14, 2026 UTC to Jan 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 27.05 | $0.590 | $15.96 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-20 17:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 18:15 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 18:15 UTC
polymarket positions
50 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-20 17:12 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $379.95 and losing ones cost $356.22 across 49 settled positions. 75.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $32.66 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $73.02 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Jan 2026. It has traded 55 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 14.75 |
| $0.810 |
| $11.95 |
| Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 28.06 | $0.880 | $24.69 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.220 | $5.5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 159.87 | $0.120 | $19.18 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 159.87 | $0.550 | $87.93 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | sell | 123.85 | $0.710 | $87.93 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 123.85 | $0.810 | $100.32 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.480 | $12 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 190.25 | $0.503 | $95.7 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 190.25 | $0.788 | $150 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 123.57 | $0.542 | $67.03 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 131.57 | $0.600 | $78.94 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.260 | $3.82 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ETUp | sell | 31.86 | $0.999 | $31.83 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ETUp | buy | 31.86 | $0.650 | $20.71 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETUp | buy | 41.23 | $0.470 | $19.38 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - January 14, 11AM ETUp | sell | 19.39 | $0.999 | $19.37 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 26.32 | $0.950 | $25 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 24.64 | $0.470 | $11.58 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.31 | $0.429 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 32.77 | $0.670 | $21.96 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - January 14, 11AM ETUp | buy | 19.4 | $0.902 | $17.5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 17.47 | $0.920 | $16.08 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.93 | $0.271 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.380 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 79.68 | $0.900 | $71.71 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - January 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 31.36 | $0.620 | $19.44 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 91.28 | $0.900 | $82.16 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - January 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 34.03 | $0.570 | $19.4 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 29.59 | $0.460 | $13.61 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 25.38 | $0.776 | $19.7 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - January 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 80.27 | $0.772 | $62.01 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 32.24 | $0.602 | $19.43 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - January 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 22.95 | $0.866 | $19.86 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 32.37 | $0.600 | $19.42 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 28.27 | $0.691 | $19.54 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 25.43 | $0.774 | $19.69 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 45.66 | $0.250 | $11.42 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 34.25 | $0.566 | $19.4 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 27.57 | $0.710 | $19.58 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 28.32 | $0.690 | $19.54 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.49 | $0.650 | $4.87 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 33.46 | $0.580 | $19.41 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 32.91 | $0.590 | $19.41 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.