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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 800.01 | $0.960 | $770.41 | +$2.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | sell | 69.9 | $0.943 | $65.92 | 1d ago |
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| No |
| 242.89 |
| $0.677 |
| $176.1 |
| +$11.64 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.007 |
| $0.71 |
| 1d ago |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 69.9 | $0.975 | $68.12 | 1d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.960 | $768 | 1d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 196.62 | $0.061 | $11.91 | 2d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.073 | $1.46 | 2d ago |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 28.23 | $0.674 | $19.01 | 2d ago |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 214.66 | $0.678 | $145.44 | 2d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 119.99 | $0.053 | $6.36 | 4d ago |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 96.63 | $0.051 | $4.96 | 4d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | sell | 65.79 | $0.560 | $36.84 | 4d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | buy | 23.07 | $0.650 | $15 | 5d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | buy | 42.72 | $0.650 | $27.77 | 5d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 5d ago |
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?No | buy | 60 | $0.802 | $48.12 | 5d ago |
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?No | buy | 160 | $0.804 | $128.65 | 5d ago |
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.3% and 0.4% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | sell | 19.9 | $0.892 | $17.76 | 6d ago |
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.3% and 0.4% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.891 | $17.82 | 6d ago |
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | sell | 9.7 | $0.730 | $7.08 | 6d ago |
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | 6d ago |
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.3% and 0.4% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | buy | 129.07 | $0.900 | $116.2 | 6d ago |
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | sell | 105 | $0.760 | $79.85 | 6d ago |
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | buy | 109.7 | $0.730 | $80.08 | 6d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 114.12 | $0.938 | $107.04 | 7d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 94.31 | $0.942 | $88.84 | 7d ago |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 413.98 | $0.390 | $161.45 | 8d ago |
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | sell | 246 | $0.925 | $227.67 | 9d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.800 | $256 | 9d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | 10d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 208.43 | $0.919 | $191.55 | 10d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3?No | buy | 18 | $0.640 | $11.52 | 10d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 10d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.700 | $105 | 10d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3?No | buy | 82.86 | $0.700 | $58 | 10d ago |
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | sell | 122.26 | $0.720 | $88.03 | 11d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.720 | $108 | 11d ago |
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | 11d ago |
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 246 | $0.896 | $220.42 | 11d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 3?No | buy | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | 11d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 339 | $0.915 | $310.29 | 11d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 43.45 | $0.130 | $5.65 | 11d ago |
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.45 | $0.150 | $6.52 | 11d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | 11d ago |
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in September?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.934 | $37.36 | 11d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 2?No | sell | 147.95 | $0.804 | $118.95 | 11d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 2?No | sell | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | 11d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 2?No | sell | 6.91 | $0.810 | $5.6 | 11d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 2?No | sell | 115.7 | $0.821 | $95.02 | 11d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 2?No | sell | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 11d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 2?No | sell | 18 | $0.860 | $15.48 | 11d ago |