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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.96 | $0.960 | $0.94 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.500 | $32.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 65 |
| $0.520 |
| $33.8 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.270 | $20.25 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.968 | $17.42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.870 | $38.28 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.006 | $0.47 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.170 | $6.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.092 | $2.67 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.046 | $2.99 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 54 | $0.420 | $22.68 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.106 | $5.41 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.982 | $35.35 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.710 | $31.95 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.720 | $5.76 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 31 | $0.720 | $22.32 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.196 | $16.46 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 27 | $0.960 | $25.92 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 7.96 | $0.959 | $7.63 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.984 | $32.47 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.809 | $32.36 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.019 | $0.72 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.826 | $36.34 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.972 | $33.05 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.979 | $1.9 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?No | buy | 21 | $0.968 | $20.33 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 21 | $0.990 | $20.79 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?No | sell | 21 | $0.979 | $20.56 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?No | buy | 21 | $0.976 | $20.5 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.988 | $2.96 | May 26, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | sell | 21 | $0.962 | $20.2 | May 26, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 21 | $0.959 | $20.14 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 7 | $0.979 | $6.85 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 7 | $0.979 | $6.85 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.973 | $5.84 | May 21, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.961 | $9.61 | May 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.969 | $9.69 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 7 | $0.464 | $3.25 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.973 | $5.84 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.058 | $0.46 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?No | buy | 24 | $0.463 | $11.11 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.058 | $1.33 | May 18, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 21 | $0.988 | $20.75 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.982 | $20.62 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.981 | $20.6 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No | sell | 16 | $0.974 | $15.58 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 19 | $0.980 | $18.62 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 19 | $0.985 | $18.72 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 19 | $0.993 | $18.87 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 19 | $0.993 | $18.87 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?No | sell | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | May 13, 2025 |