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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 22.44 | $0.340 | $7.63 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.85 |
| $0.260 |
| $1 |
| May 30, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.61 | $0.870 | $17.93 | May 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | buy | 59.28 | $0.337 | $20 | May 28, 2026 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.300 | $4 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.61 | $0.728 | $15 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 7.54 | $0.740 | $5.58 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.35 | $0.830 | $6.93 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 17.35 | $0.576 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 8.96 | $0.558 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.35 | $0.599 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | buy | 62.35 | $0.160 | $10 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |