Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Measly-Cottage is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,126,042 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$20.2 observed lifetime PnL, 10 distinct markets, 0 resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xba8ae303d3592964b749e963a8ff5efab2e8695d
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 12.66 | $0.790 | $12.51 | +$2.51 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 13.39 | $0.747 | $12.18 | +$2.18 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 10 | $0.820 | $8.15 | -$0.05 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.730 | $5.75 | -$1.55 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 20.71 | $0.483 | $4.76 | -$5.24 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10 | $0.640 | $1.55 | -$4.85 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.719 | $7.19 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 13.39 | $0.747 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 20.71 | $0.483 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierGen.G | buy | 205.55 | $0.049 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.