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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?Yes | buy | 0.19 | $0.500 | $0.1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 1.88 |
| $0.830 |
| $1.56 |
| Nov 25, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA reach $216 in November?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.210 | $8.4 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?No | buy | 110 | $0.090 | $9.9 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.095 | $2.85 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.116 | $9.28 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.201 | $8.04 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.306 | $15.3 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.900 | $54 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.302 | $6.04 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.580 | $4.64 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.600 | $36 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.308 | $9.24 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.250 | $22.5 | Sep 23, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by October 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.620 | $24.8 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.630 | $5.04 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.358 | $10.02 | Sep 15, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.530 | $21.2 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.230 | $20.7 | Sep 15, 2025 |