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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 3.54K | $0.180 | $2.85K | +$2.21K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 580 | $0.260 | $150.8 | 10h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.63K |
| $0.163 |
| $964.95 |
| +$699.71 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.72K | $0.081 | $836.47 | -$31.07 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 800 | $0.720 | $596 | +$20 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 493.97 | $0.391 | $429.76 | +$236.59 |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.93K | $0.158 | $409.16 | -$528.97 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 1.1K | $0.390 | $390.5 | -$38.5 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 1K | $0.277 | $385 | +$108.2 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.185 | $290 | -$80 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 620 | $0.450 | $269.7 | -$9.3 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 600 | $0.390 | $267 | +$33 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 300 | $0.700 | $196.5 | -$13.5 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 236 | $0.760 | $193.52 | +$14.16 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 299.99 | $0.740 | $165 | -$57 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.71K | $0.080 | $144.8 | +$7.73 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 200 | $0.750 | $144 | -$6 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.230 | $139.29 | -$98.02 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 281.3 | $0.595 | $127.99 | -$39.25 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 703.53 | $0.090 | $126.64 | +$63.32 |
 Patriots vs. Seahawks | Seahawks | 200 | $0.620 | $123 | -$1 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 625.15 | $0.619 | $103.15 | -$283.95 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | Yes | 500 | $0.130 | $102.5 | +$37.5 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 332 | $0.280 | $83 | -$9.96 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10K | $0.010 | $75 | -$25 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 332.54 | $0.181 | $67.01 | +$6.83 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.450 |
| $450 |
| 12h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.590 | $295 | 1d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | 2d ago |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 128.04 | $0.210 | $26.89 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 254.57 | $0.233 | $59.3 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.9 | $0.961 | $28.73 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 349.14 | $0.999 | $348.79 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.080 | $137.07 | 6d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.190 | $76 | 6d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 11.7 | $0.640 | $7.49 | 6d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 64.29 | $0.120 | $7.69 | 7d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 24.08 | $0.486 | $11.7 | 7d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 135.5 | $0.169 | $22.93 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?Yes | buy | 439.79 | $0.022 | $9.68 | 8d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 412.68 | $0.180 | $74.28 | 8d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.670 | $36.85 | 10d ago |
 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves | sell | 61.99 | $0.703 | $43.6 | 12d ago |
 Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.990 | $5.93 | 12d ago |
 Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 30 | $0.889 | $26.67 | 12d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Yes | buy | 55.5 | $0.930 | $51.62 | 12d ago |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 216 | $0.660 | $142.56 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.037 | $0.74 | 13d ago |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 332 | $0.280 | $92.96 | 18d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.407 | $14.25 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.279 | $55.8 | 19d ago |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | sell | 640 | $0.999 | $639.36 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | 19d ago |
| Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $999 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 120 | $0.560 | $67.2 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 390 | $0.470 | $183.3 | 22d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 91.96 | $0.280 | $25.75 | 22d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 80.57 | $0.700 | $56.4 | 23d ago |
 Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 761.46 | $0.083 | $63.33 | 25d ago |
 Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.270 | $8.64 | 26d ago |
| Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 817.17 | $0.060 | $49.03 | 26d ago |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.163 | $265.25 | 27d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | 27d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 323 | $0.480 | $155.04 | 27d ago |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.940 | $1.41K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.900 | $1.35K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.620 | $651.39 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio say "Trump" 3+ times during Fox News: My View appearance?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.768 | $38.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | sell | 497.21 | $0.540 | $268.49 | Aug 1, 2026 |