Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.620 | $1.25 | Jan 7, 2026 |
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1111111114 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,462,000 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$60.8 observed lifetime PnL, 589 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 16.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xb761a7dbc360d86d8e46c8b25e47a4d4c92a253a
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 25.92 |
| $0.075 |
| $1.94 |
| Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.018 | $0 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.450 | $0 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 12.57 | $0.200 | $2.51 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 12.1 | $0.340 | $4.11 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | sell | 7.37 | $0.890 | $6.56 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 8.24 | $0.110 | $0.91 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 43.9 | $0.290 | $12.73 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.845 | $1.39 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 3.25 | $0.800 | $2.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No | sell | 6.05 | $0.800 | $4.84 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 11.1 | $0.839 | $9.31 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.84 | $0.051 | $0.96 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.680 | $2.06 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.770 | $2.8 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 22.85 | $0.220 | $5.03 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 308.08 | $0.018 | $5.55 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 31.07 | $0.230 | $7.15 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 17.82 | $0.450 | $8.02 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.939 | $0.99 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 11.58 | $0.180 | $2.08 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.05 | $0.460 | $2.78 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the first round by 2–4%?No | sell | 6.05 | $0.870 | $5.26 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 6.05 | $0.923 | $5.58 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.05 | $0.360 | $7.22 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the first round?No | sell | 12.1 | $0.803 | $9.72 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 28.39 | $0.460 | $13.06 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.84 | $0.380 | $1.08 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 135.79 | $0.016 | $2.17 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 16.75 | $0.170 | $2.85 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 6.05 | $0.880 | $5.32 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the first round by 4–6%?No | sell | 6.05 | $0.923 | $5.58 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.79 | $0.290 | $1.1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.890 | $2.34 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 16.7 | $0.075 | $1.26 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.05 | $0.520 | $3.15 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 33.15 | $0.250 | $8.29 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.97 | $0.590 | $5.88 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9.02 | $0.860 | $7.76 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.3 | $0.330 | $2.41 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 11.12 | $0.320 | $3.56 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 199.94 | $0.013 | $2.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | sell | 32.74 | $0.309 | $10.12 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 12.52 | $0.900 | $11.27 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 2.67 | $0.958 | $2.56 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.760 | $5.4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 8.05 | $0.780 | $6.28 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 35 | $0.640 | $22.4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.