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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.390 | $22.23 | Jun 7, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 31 |
| $0.810 |
| $25.11 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.810 | $29.16 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 12 | $0.809 | $9.71 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 107 | $0.039 | $4.17 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.033 | $4.46 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.520 | $43.16 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.018 | $2.75 | May 30, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 89 | $0.520 | $46.28 | May 30, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 49 | $0.933 | $45.72 | May 28, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 52 | $0.961 | $49.97 | May 28, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.959 | $49.87 | May 28, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.580 | $50.46 | May 28, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.580 | $50.46 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.013 | $2.08 | May 28, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 172 | $0.041 | $7.05 | May 27, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 172 | $0.041 | $7.05 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1.77 | $0.995 | $1.76 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.958 | $7.66 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.972 | $14.58 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.973 | $14.59 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.986 | $13.8 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.986 | $13.8 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.993 | $12.91 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?No | sell | 63 | $0.019 | $1.2 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 13 | $0.988 | $12.84 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.012 | $0.6 | Jun 5, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?No | buy | 12 | $0.978 | $11.74 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.984 | $12.79 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 13 | $0.984 | $12.79 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?No | sell | 13 | $0.935 | $12.16 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?No | buy | 13 | $0.943 | $12.26 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.575 | $12.65 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?No | buy | 14 | $0.023 | $0.32 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?No | buy | 15 | $0.968 | $14.52 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.037 | $0.7 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Kwon Yeong-guk win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | sell | 18 | $0.962 | $17.32 | May 31, 2025 |
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 16 | $0.989 | $15.82 | May 28, 2025 |
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 16 | $0.989 | $15.82 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?No | buy | 16 | $0.987 | $15.79 | May 26, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | sell | 16 | $0.991 | $15.86 | May 25, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.021 | $1.09 | May 21, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.962 | $7.7 | May 21, 2025 |
Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.028 | $0.56 | May 21, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 16 | $0.975 | $15.6 | May 20, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 16 | $0.985 | $15.76 | May 20, 2025 |
Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.031 | $1.71 | May 20, 2025 |
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 28 | $0.983 | $27.52 | May 19, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?No | sell | 30 | $0.871 | $26.13 | May 19, 2025 |
Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 26 | $0.985 | $25.61 | May 16, 2025 |