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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | No | 1.02 | $0.938 | $0.99 | +$0.03 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.931 | $1.75 | 20d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1 |
| $0.940 |
| $0.94 |
| -$0.01 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 1 | $0.900 | $0.93 | +$0.03 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 1 | $0.780 | $0.92 | +$0.14 |
 Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 1 | $0.920 | $0.92 | -$0 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 1 | $0.820 | $0.91 | +$0.09 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 1 | $0.830 | $0.85 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.75 | $0.580 | $0.54 | +$0.11 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 0.5 | $0.900 | $0.49 | +$0.04 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.52 | $0.578 | $0.46 | +$0.16 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.830 | $0.44 | +$0.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.5 | $0.840 | $0.43 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 0.48 | $0.810 | $0.42 | +$0.03 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.740 | $0.38 | +$0.01 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.59 | $0.440 | $0.31 | +$0.05 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 0.47 | $0.640 | $0.3 | +$0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.3 | $0.450 | $0.25 | +$0.11 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 0.25 | $0.940 | $0.24 | +$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.25 | $0.920 | $0.23 | +$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 0.25 | $0.870 | $0.22 | +$0.01 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.25 | $0.770 | $0.19 | +$0 |
 Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | Yes | 0.25 | $0.860 | $0.19 | -$0.02 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.5 | $0.740 | $0.19 | -$0.19 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.7 | $0.540 | $0.12 | -$0.26 |
| sell |
| 4.27 |
| $0.820 |
| $3.5 |
| 20d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Yes | sell | 4.06 | $0.930 | $3.78 | 20d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.780 | $9.75 | 20d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | sell | 10.9 | $0.930 | $10.14 | 20d ago |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | sell | 15.9 | $0.620 | $9.86 | 20d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | sell | 14 | $0.890 | $12.46 | 20d ago |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.950 | $9.88 | 20d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 15.5 | $0.640 | $9.92 | 20d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 14 | $0.870 | $12.18 | 20d ago |
 Getafe CF vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 20d ago |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?No | sell | 7 | $0.930 | $6.51 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.75 | $0.760 | $5.89 | 20d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.75 | $0.920 | $7.13 | 20d ago |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.930 | $6.51 | 20d ago |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 7 | $0.870 | $6.09 | 20d ago |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.940 | $7.05 | 20d ago |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 7 | $0.830 | $5.81 | 20d ago |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes | sell | 3.73 | $0.830 | $3.1 | 20d ago |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 7 | $0.890 | $6.23 | 20d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.930 | $6.51 | 20d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 7.75 | $0.960 | $7.44 | 20d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.820 | $6.15 | 20d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.75 | $0.920 | $7.13 | 20d ago |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?Yes | sell | 7.75 | $0.840 | $6.51 | 20d ago |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.6 | $0.957 | $7.27 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.940 | $7.05 | 20d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.975 | $6.83 | 20d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.820 | $6.15 | 20d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | sell | 7.75 | $0.880 | $6.82 | 20d ago |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.8 | $0.550 | $9.79 | 20d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | sell | 7.6 | $0.650 | $4.94 | 20d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 7 | $0.830 | $5.81 | 20d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 7.75 | $0.880 | $6.82 | 20d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 7.6 | $0.950 | $7.22 | 20d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | sell | 9.5 | $0.940 | $8.93 | 20d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | sell | 7 | $0.931 | $6.52 | 20d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?No | sell | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | 20d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.962 | $7.7 | 20d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.973 | $9.73 | 20d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.940 | $9.87 | 20d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?No | sell | 10.75 | $0.445 | $4.78 | 20d ago |
 Quebec City: Duncan Chan vs Taro DanielTaro Daniel | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | 20d ago |
| Quebec City: Duncan Chan vs Taro DanielTaro Daniel | buy | 10.5 | $0.940 | $9.87 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?No | buy | 11.5 | $0.860 | $9.89 | 20d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 8 | $0.983 | $7.86 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | sell | 7.7 | $0.300 | $2.31 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.983 | $7.86 | 21d ago |
 Exact Score: Any Other Score?No | sell | 7.6 | $0.050 | $0.38 | 21d ago |