Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | No | 101.97 | $0.740 | $79.03 | +$3.57 |
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No | buy | 101.97 | $0.740 | $75.46 | 2d ago |
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Soupy-Fat is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,728,766 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$168.21 observed lifetime PnL, 65 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 84.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xb524f6f8a327b8d559d8e57a42af83a76c9b6ef2
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 1.39 |
| $0.720 |
| $0.97 |
| -$0.03 |
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
| buy |
| 77.03 |
| $0.880 |
| $67.79 |
| 18d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?No | sell | 127.38 | $0.552 | $70.37 | 19d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?No | buy | 127.39 | $0.771 | $98.16 | 22d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?No | buy | 143.91 | $0.930 | $133.84 | 29d ago |
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | 29d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No | buy | 129.72 | $0.979 | $127 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No | sell | 107.64 | $0.991 | $106.67 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.910 | $71.91 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.912 | $4.56 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.925 | $88.8 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16?No | sell | 101 | $0.071 | $7.13 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16?No | buy | 101 | $0.089 | $8.99 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No | buy | 107.64 | $0.929 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 145.62 | $0.001 | $0.15 | May 15, 2026 |
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 250 | $0.009 | $2.25 | May 15, 2026 |
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.98 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.983 | $1.05 | May 15, 2026 |
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.958 | $1.06 | May 15, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on March 28?No | sell | 50 | $0.561 | $28.05 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on March 18?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on March 18?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on March 18?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on March 18?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Google dip to $215 in March?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 15?No | buy | 8.21 | $0.609 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageXtreme Gaming | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $165 on March 3?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $120 in March?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on February 25?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on February 25?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on February 25?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $195 on February 25?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on February 25?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.2 | $0.440 | $0.97 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Octra FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.