Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 20 | $0.130 | $3.4 | +$0.8 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | 17d ago |
 |
Inborn-Effacement is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,936,346 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$621.23 observed lifetime PnL, 45 distinct markets, 32 resolved positions, a 53.1% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xb49499f491900d353398905233ae93e7c688cc5b
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.960 |
| $9.6 |
| 19d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.962 | $9.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.046 | $0.92 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.032 | $0.64 | May 20, 2026 |
 Heat vs. HornetsHeat | buy | 384.16 | $0.340 | $130.61 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. JazzGrizzlies | buy | 867.6 | $0.400 | $347.04 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Celtics vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 289.25 | $0.620 | $179.34 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. MagicMagic | buy | 293.08 | $0.670 | $196.36 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bucks vs. NetsNets | buy | 106.3 | $0.440 | $46.77 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bucks vs. NetsBucks | sell | 108.58 | $0.560 | $60.8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bucks vs. NetsBucks | buy | 107.16 | $0.570 | $61.08 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesCavaliers | buy | 228.76 | $0.910 | $208.17 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Pacers vs. HornetsHornets | buy | 118.36 | $0.910 | $107.71 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers | buy | 186.58 | $0.700 | $130.61 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Kings vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 153.79 | $0.870 | $133.8 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Suns vs. MagicSuns | buy | 193.76 | $0.480 | $93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| 76ers vs. Heat76ers | buy | 197.06 | $0.570 | $112.32 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Wizards vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers | buy | 230 | $0.920 | $211.6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Bulls vs. GrizzliesBulls | buy | 400 | $0.620 | $248 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Kings vs. HornetsKings | buy | 120 | $0.090 | $10.8 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. HeatSpurs | buy | 400 | $0.660 | $264 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Lakers vs. MagicLakers | buy | 300 | $0.590 | $177 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. NetsKnicks | buy | 230 | $0.950 | $218.5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| 76ers vs. Kings76ers | buy | 220 | $0.590 | $129.8 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Thunder vs. NetsThunder | buy | 120 | $0.950 | $114 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. BucksCavaliers | buy | 120 | $0.810 | $97.2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Magic vs. HawksMagic | buy | 170 | $0.450 | $76.5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Wizards vs. CelticsWizards | buy | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Suns vs. RaptorsSuns | buy | 160 | $0.389 | $62.24 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bucks vs. HeatBucks | buy | 167 | $0.319 | $53.27 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. JazzKnicks | buy | 90 | $0.879 | $79.11 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Raptors vs. RocketsRaptors | buy | 200 | $0.379 | $75.8 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers76ers | buy | 138 | $0.179 | $24.7 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Clippers vs. GrizzliesClippers | buy | 220 | $0.690 | $151.7 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 20 | $0.994 | $19.88 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.996 | $19.92 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 172.38 | $0.920 | $158.59 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 172.39 | $0.950 | $163.77 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.985 | $137.91 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.987 | $138.18 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?No | sell | 94 | $0.090 | $8.46 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.900 | $99 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.880 | $96.8 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?No | buy | 94 | $0.120 | $11.28 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | sell | 128.2 | $0.961 | $123.2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | buy | 128.2 | $0.967 | $124 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.962 | $105.8 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.