
Resolved Thunder on 19 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thunder at 1.1%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 13 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 13 Mar 2026 to 19 Mar 2026, the highest close was 98.9% on 19 Mar 2026 and the lowest 73.5% on 13 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 83% on 14 Mar 2026.
179 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 5:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 13 Mar 2026 – 19 Mar 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2026 | 73.5% |
| 19 Mar 2026 | 98.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NBAMapaso | Nets | 55.54K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Nets | 15.5K |
| gjj7tbmkk763ggg | Nets | 10.33K |
| NebulaBite | Nets | 10.15K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 18 at 7:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-bkn-2026-03-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| EBANTO | Nets | 9.7K |
| Lunar Harbor 7996 | Nets | 8K |
| Average-Essential | Nets | 7.89K |
| kiinndz | Nets | 4K |
| Albertomk | Nets | 1.52K |
| mantre | Nets | 1.16K |