Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 115.48 | $0.999 | $115.37 | Apr 26, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 111.05 |
| $0.999 |
| $110.94 |
| Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 108.3 | $0.999 | $108.19 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.999 | $2.48 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 113.49 | $0.999 | $113.38 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 117.08 | $0.997 | $116.73 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 58.6 | $0.998 | $58.48 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.999 | $10.07 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 71.14 | $0.997 | $70.93 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 34.62 | $0.999 | $34.59 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 64.31 | $0.998 | $64.18 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 48.55 | $0.999 | $48.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.997 | $6.26 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 11.96 | $0.999 | $11.95 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No | buy | 103.88 | $0.999 | $103.78 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No | buy | 15.84 | $0.997 | $15.79 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No | buy | 82.43 | $0.992 | $81.77 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 78.48 | $0.998 | $78.32 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No | buy | 94.93 | $0.998 | $94.74 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 177.5 | $0.008 | $1.42 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 76.42 | $0.965 | $73.75 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 8.3 | $0.993 | $8.24 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 100.64 | $0.997 | $100.34 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 106.27 | $0.999 | $106.16 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 51.54 | $0.995 | $51.28 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.4 | $0.930 | $16.18 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.095 | $103.69 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.840 | $3.94 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.988 | $5.44 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.141 | $153.3 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 153.59 | $0.997 | $153.13 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 153.6 | $0.998 | $153.29 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 123.51 | $0.984 | $121.53 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 140.62 | $0.995 | $139.92 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 140.62 | $0.996 | $140.06 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 138.21 | $0.996 | $137.66 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 138.21 | $0.997 | $137.8 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 130.34 | $0.993 | $129.43 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $5.00-5.25 in May?No | buy | 14.8 | $0.999 | $14.79 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 130.34 | $0.995 | $129.69 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 138.15 | $0.997 | $137.77 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 138.16 | $0.999 | $138.02 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 124.92 | $0.991 | $123.8 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $210 in May?No | buy | 9.63 | $0.996 | $9.59 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 124.93 | $0.992 | $123.93 | May 29, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high in May?No | buy | 18 | $0.999 | $17.98 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 151.54 | $0.997 | $151.09 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 151.54 | $0.998 | $151.24 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?No | buy | 7.83 | $0.999 | $7.82 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 133.47 | $0.997 | $133.07 | May 24, 2025 |