Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 282.34 | $0.987 | $278.67 | Nov 29, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 291.1 |
| $0.970 |
| $282.37 |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $132,000 on October 13?No | buy | 162.88 | $0.999 | $162.72 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 398.16 | $0.992 | $394.97 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 396.16 | $0.997 | $394.97 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No | buy | 131 | $0.999 | $130.87 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No | buy | 394.3 | $0.997 | $393.12 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 8.55 | $0.356 | $3.04 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 71.82 | $0.351 | $25.21 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Trump wins 316-222 - AZ, GA, MI, MN, NC, PA, WIYes | sell | 10 | $0.031 | $0.31 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.990 | $4.96 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214Yes | sell | 1K | $0.026 | $26 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?Yes | sell | 442.01 | $0.070 | $30.94 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+Yes | sell | 288.25 | $0.014 | $4.04 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Trump wins the election but loses WI, MI, or PA?No | sell | 29.98 | $0.627 | $18.81 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214Yes | buy | 41.58 | $0.026 | $1.08 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | buy | 82.14 | $0.114 | $9.36 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in October?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.011 | $1.65 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | sell | 349.99 | $0.046 | $16.1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.026 | $0.18 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | sell | 17.96 | $0.650 | $11.67 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214Yes | sell | 41.51 | $0.025 | $1.04 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214Yes | sell | 53 | $0.027 | $1.43 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | sell | 155.49 | $0.043 | $6.69 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.024 | $0.29 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | sell | 92.97 | $0.993 | $92.32 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in October?Yes | sell | 193.22 | $0.052 | $10.05 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Manchester City wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 51.28 | $0.389 | $19.95 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 68.16 | $0.020 | $1.36 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214Yes | buy | 73 | $0.024 | $1.75 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | sell | 250 | $0.045 | $11.25 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 158.04 | $0.023 | $3.63 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | sell | 14.38 | $0.045 | $0.65 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | sell | 16.75 | $0.045 | $0.75 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | sell | 41 | $0.029 | $1.19 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | sell | 35.72 | $0.045 | $1.61 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | sell | 33.27 | $0.044 | $1.46 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | sell | 5.51 | $0.042 | $0.23 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34Yes | sell | 6.61 | $0.040 | $0.26 | Oct 28, 2024 |