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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 121.86 | $0.034 | $4.19 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 42.55 |
| $0.060 |
| $2.55 |
| Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.004 | $0.13 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.006 | $0.3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 174.82 | $0.003 | $0.52 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 43.39 | $0.061 | $2.63 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 43.39 | $0.086 | $3.74 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.290 | $10.74 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 46.03 | $0.340 | $15.65 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 65.21 | $0.240 | $15.65 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.86 | $0.360 | $7.51 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | sell | 679.68 | $0.004 | $2.72 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.006 | $4 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 46.14 | $0.217 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.062 | $31.2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 174.82 | $0.029 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 13.02 | $0.300 | $3.91 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |