Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.47 | $0.955 | $0.46 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 129 | $0.079 | $10.19 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 129 |
| $0.080 |
| $10.32 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.900 | $54.9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 43 | $0.860 | $36.98 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 64 | $0.860 | $55.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 147 | $0.080 | $11.76 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.140 | $14.84 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.140 | $22.82 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.870 | $49.59 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.330 | $18.81 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.330 | $50.82 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.140 | $12.46 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.170 | $14.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.170 | $14.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 15 | $0.860 | $12.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 45 | $0.850 | $38.25 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.045 | $2.75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.042 | $2.18 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.044 | $6.73 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.090 | $4.32 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.090 | $9.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.6 | $0.939 | $6.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.680 | $52.36 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.155 | $10.08 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 112.85 | $0.147 | $16.59 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.966 | $5.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 158 | $0.062 | $9.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.061 | $9.64 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.179 | $10.56 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.146 | $8.61 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 58 | $0.510 | $29.58 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 22 | $0.984 | $21.65 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.013 | $0.04 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.025 | $1.05 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.048 | $1.87 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 9 | $0.955 | $8.59 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.191 | $19.29 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 48 | $0.955 | $45.84 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.480 | $48.48 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.480 | $48.48 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 136 | $0.032 | $4.35 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.031 | $4.59 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.959 | $45.07 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.959 | $46.99 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.580 | $39.44 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.381 | $41.91 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.306 | $43.76 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 49 | $0.860 | $42.14 | May 27, 2026 |