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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 8.99 | $0.774 | $8.45 | +$1.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.94 | $0.069 | $1.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.5 |
| $0.240 |
| $4.25 |
| +$3.17 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 37.7 | $0.370 | $2.26 | -$11.69 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 1.55 | $0.690 | $1.4 | +$0.33 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | No | 1.24 | $0.870 | $1.24 | +$0.16 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.19 | $0.910 | $1.14 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.15 | $0.940 | $1.1 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | No | 3.18 | $0.340 | $0.48 | -$0.6 |
| sell |
| 0.27 |
| $0.670 |
| $0.18 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.670 | $1.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.89 | $0.283 | $1.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.32 | $0.670 | $0.21 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.670 | $0.06 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 2.18 | $0.550 | $1.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 2.64 | $0.790 | $2.09 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.870 | $1.08 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.66 | $0.431 | $1.15 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.406 | $1.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.41 | $0.403 | $1.37 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.750 | $1.1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | sell | 3.18 | $0.020 | $0.06 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 1.84 | $0.130 | $0.24 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.42 | $0.316 | $1.08 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.68 | $0.994 | $1.67 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.520 | $1.18 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.390 | $1.18 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.370 | $1.18 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.640 | $1.18 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.991 | $1.37 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.97 | $0.991 | $2.94 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.992 | $0.18 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.992 | $0.01 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.992 | $0.01 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.992 | $0.02 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.992 | $0.03 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.992 | $0.1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.974 | $1.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.974 | $1.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.974 | $1.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.974 | $1.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 2.8 | $0.382 | $1.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 2.32 | $0.461 | $1.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 9.22 | $0.116 | $1.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 9.22 | $0.116 | $1.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 9.22 | $0.116 | $1.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 9.22 | $0.116 | $1.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.900 | $1.08 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.927 | $1.07 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.928 | $1.07 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.928 | $1.07 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.928 | $1.07 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.929 | $1.07 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.929 | $1.07 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.928 | $1.07 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 1.81 | $0.592 | $1.07 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 1.81 | $0.592 | $1.07 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 1.8 | $0.593 | $1.07 | Mar 5, 2026 |