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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.14K | $0.913 | $1.05K | +$13.97 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 28.76 | $0.560 | $16.11 | 56m ago |
 |
| No |
| 894.15 |
| $0.961 |
| $859.28 |
| -$0.03 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.38K | $0.523 | $796.1 | +$72.35 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 540 | $0.954 | $510.03 | -$5.37 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 239.99 | $0.780 | $207.59 | +$20.4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 240.01 | $0.840 | $205.21 | +$3.6 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | No | 179.98 | $0.987 | $177.73 | +$0.05 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 180 | $0.981 | $177.39 | +$0.81 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 180 | $0.956 | $174.24 | +$2.16 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | No | 150 | $0.919 | $141.3 | +$3.4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 219.25 | $0.562 | $119.49 | -$3.72 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 119.99 | $0.930 | $111.59 | $0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.119 | $109.3 | -$69.42 |
 Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 885.92 | $0.130 | $105.87 | -$9.68 |
 Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 29.66K | $0.006 | $103.8 | -$71.86 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.08K | $0.485 | $92.17 | -$434.11 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.03K | $0.213 | $84.89 | -$133.97 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 77.75 | $0.959 | $75.3 | +$0.7 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | Yes | 293.89 | $0.308 | $72 | -$18.46 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | Yes | 842.14 | $0.108 | $63.16 | -$28.1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 72 | $0.823 | $61.52 | +$2.27 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 65.38 | $0.360 | $61.13 | +$37.59 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 420 | $0.227 | $60.9 | -$34.5 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | No | 516.82 | $0.439 | $54.27 | -$172.72 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 359.99 | $0.192 | $52.02 | -$17.22 |
| sell |
| 0.74 |
| $0.570 |
| $0.42 |
| 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 28.59 | $0.560 | $16.01 | 2h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.83 | $0.570 | $3.32 | 3h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 119.99 | $0.930 | $111.59 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 22.11 | $0.660 | $14.59 | 16h ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 240 | $0.961 | $230.64 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 45.77 | $0.660 | $30.21 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.610 | $0.16 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 26.21 | $0.616 | $16.16 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 6.98 | $0.610 | $4.26 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.74 | $0.590 | $0.44 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 49.12 | $0.570 | $28 | 19h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 113.03 | $0.250 | $28.26 | 21h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 73.29 | $0.260 | $19.06 | 21h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 168.24 | $0.250 | $42.06 | 23h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 107.51 | $0.223 | $24.01 | 23h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 36.59 | $0.340 | $12.44 | 23h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.490 | $88.2 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 69.18 | $0.220 | $15.22 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.9 | $0.530 | $5.78 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 294.69 | $0.320 | $94.3 | 1d ago |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 227.99 | $0.866 | $197.38 | 1d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 179.99 | $0.893 | $160.78 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.150 | $9 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 577.28 | $0.321 | $185.43 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 184.18 | $0.159 | $29.37 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 6.77 | $0.930 | $6.3 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.930 | $0.18 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.930 | $5.53 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 87.34 | $0.241 | $21.07 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.53 | $0.440 | $34.99 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 87.9 | $0.558 | $49.02 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 180 | $0.429 | $77.2 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 540 | $0.126 | $68.25 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.152 | $15.2 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 142.55 | $0.453 | $64.51 | 5d ago |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 150.08 | $0.110 | $16.51 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No | buy | 30 | $0.340 | $10.2 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 85.8 | $0.500 | $42.9 | 6d ago |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.51 | $0.100 | $9.97 | 6d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 249 | $0.104 | $25.89 | 6d ago |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?No | sell | 113.39 | $0.800 | $90.71 | 6d ago |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?No | buy | 108.39 | $0.810 | $87.8 | 6d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 179.99 | $0.987 | $177.65 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.989 | $5.93 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 14.51 | $0.989 | $14.35 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 69.87 | $0.989 | $69.1 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 89.61 | $0.989 | $88.62 | 6d ago |