Latest trade
Sep 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:48 AM UTC.
Analytics
Winding-Marshmallow is down $9.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:48 AM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Feb 7, 2026 UTC to Sep 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 8.19 | $0.930 | $7.62 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-10 20:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 05:48 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 05:48 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-10 20:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $157.95 and losing ones cost $12.27 across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $57.42 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $5 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Sep 2026. It has traded 93 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 18.6 |
| $0.420 |
| $7.81 |
| Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.770 | $12.62 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 32 | $0.740 | $23.68 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 8.85 | $0.791 | $7 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Warriors vs. RocketsWarriors | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22?Up | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp | buy | 9.32 | $0.520 | $4.84 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 12?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETUp | buy | 4.31 | $0.450 | $1.94 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETUp | sell | 20.08 | $0.600 | $12.05 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 19.77 | $0.490 | $9.69 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 91.59 | $0.022 | $2 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
 DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.309 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.79 | $0.424 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETUp | buy | 7.86 | $0.250 | $1.96 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.260 | $8.67 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 10.5 | $0.280 | $2.94 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 5.12 | $0.380 | $1.94 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp | sell | 5.79 | $0.670 | $3.88 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.7 | $0.510 | $2.91 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | sell | 29.26 | $0.350 | $10.24 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 29.12 | $0.170 | $4.95 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.940 | $10.21 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 10.53 | $0.460 | $4.85 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETDown | buy | 10.4 | $0.190 | $1.98 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.62 | $0.820 | $2.97 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 24.68 | $0.200 | $4.94 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 7.18 | $0.680 | $4.88 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?No | sell | 28.07 | $0.756 | $21.22 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETDown | buy | 6.52 | $0.300 | $1.96 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.6 | $0.430 | $8 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Pacers vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 6.78 | $0.737 | $5 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.530 | $13.94 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?No | sell | 27.16 | $0.910 | $24.72 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 5.11 | $0.570 | $2.91 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 3.59 | $0.540 | $1.94 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 57.77 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.