Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 570 | $0.933 | $548.63 | +$16.82 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 570 | $0.933 | $531.81 | May 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 484.12 |
| $0.704 |
| $340.73 |
| May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 868.72 | $0.958 | $832.23 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No | buy | 368.43 | $0.982 | $361.8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will BC.Game Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?No | buy | 345.51 | $0.991 | $342.4 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 36.65 | $0.986 | $36.14 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump jail Biden family member?No | buy | 46.44 | $0.987 | $45.85 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 273.12 | $0.975 | $266.29 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 21 | $0.996 | $20.92 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No | buy | 21 | $0.961 | $20.18 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be deported before November?No | buy | 29 | $0.979 | $28.39 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 17 | $0.960 | $16.32 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?No | buy | 17 | $0.993 | $16.88 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 114 | $0.980 | $111.72 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 12 | $0.903 | $10.84 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 72 | $0.950 | $68.4 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be deported before November?No | buy | 23 | $0.967 | $22.24 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 38 | $0.930 | $35.34 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | sell | 5.91 | $0.033 | $0.2 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.530 | $10.59 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | sell | 82 | $0.108 | $8.84 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?Yes | sell | 46.56 | $0.210 | $9.78 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | sell | 53.35 | $0.216 | $11.52 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Astros win the AL West Division?No | sell | 82 | $0.180 | $14.76 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?Yes | sell | 81.99 | $0.282 | $23.11 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | sell | 41.01 | $0.650 | $26.66 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 41.01 | $0.690 | $28.3 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | sell | 79.56 | $0.393 | $31.24 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 50.58 | $0.700 | $35.41 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?No | sell | 96.1 | $0.540 | $51.89 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?No | sell | 82 | $0.690 | $56.58 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the NL Central Division?No | sell | 81.9 | $0.820 | $67.16 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will a club from Brazil win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 82 | $0.891 | $73.06 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 53.38 | $0.830 | $44.31 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50–59?No | sell | 325.63 | $0.118 | $38.41 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC July 1-7?Yes | sell | 60.98 | $0.052 | $3.17 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | sell | 32.17 | $0.570 | $18.34 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Olympique Lyon play in Ligue 1?Yes | sell | 38.99 | $0.650 | $25.34 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 199.01 | $0.790 | $157.22 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 45 | $0.920 | $41.4 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | sell | 82 | $0.410 | $33.62 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the AL East Division?No | sell | 41 | $0.810 | $33.21 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?No | sell | 46.01 | $0.530 | $24.39 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.100 | $1.09 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025No | sell | 41 | $0.890 | $36.49 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025Yes | sell | 15.73 | $0.110 | $1.73 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?No | sell | 21 | $0.770 | $16.17 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 81.99 | $0.610 | $50.01 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?No | sell | 21 | $0.770 | $16.17 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?No | sell | 7.41 | $0.600 | $4.45 | Jul 2, 2025 |