Latest trade
Feb 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 6:25 AM UTC.
Analytics
theobvioudoesntalwayshappen is down $69.59 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 6:25 AM UTC.
$9.98 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 23 markets; 56.0% were buys. They run from Jan 31, 2026 UTC to Feb 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETUp | buy | 5.83 | $0.850 | $4.96 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-15 12:37 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 06:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 06:25 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-15 12:37 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $301.89 and losing ones cost $310.27 across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $42.62 on “Will Israel strike Gaza on January 19, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $156.12 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Feb 2026. It has traded 128 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 4.25 |
| $0.990 |
| $4.21 |
| Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 4.25 | $0.940 | $3.99 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp | sell | 6.13 | $0.990 | $6.07 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp | buy | 6.1 | $0.810 | $4.94 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown | sell | 3.29 | $0.990 | $3.26 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown | buy | 3.29 | $0.910 | $2.99 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 33.05 | $0.296 | $9.78 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETDown | buy | 3.75 | $0.790 | $2.96 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETDown | sell | 10.85 | $0.990 | $10.74 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 10.84 | $0.920 | $9.97 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | sell | 11.03 | $0.990 | $10.92 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 11.02 | $0.904 | $9.96 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?Yes | sell | 18.98 | $0.390 | $7.4 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes | sell | 8.6 | $0.999 | $8.59 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes | buy | 8.6 | $0.930 | $8 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes | sell | 20.45 | $0.430 | $8.79 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes | buy | 20.45 | $0.440 | $9 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?Yes | buy | 18.99 | $0.790 | $15 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-31?Yes | sell | 46.16 | $0.100 | $4.62 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-31?Yes | sell | 18.29 | $0.990 | $18.11 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-31?Yes | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-31?Yes | buy | 36.91 | $0.542 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-31?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-01-31?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.997 | $18.13 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.360 | $3.79 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-01-31?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.880 | $16 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes | sell | 38.24 | $0.990 | $37.86 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes | buy | 38.24 | $0.889 | $34 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-31?No | sell | 28.41 | $0.090 | $2.56 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.128 | $2.77 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.690 | $15 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-31?No | buy | 28.42 | $0.880 | $25 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - January 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp | sell | 20.82 | $0.980 | $20.4 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - January 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 20.82 | $0.960 | $19.99 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | sell | 61.02 | $0.990 | $60.41 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 50.5 | $0.990 | $50 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 10.51 | $0.950 | $9.99 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | sell | 68.36 | $0.990 | $67.68 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 68.35 | $0.980 | $66.99 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETUp | sell | 8.64 | $0.070 | $0.6 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 8.51 | $0.570 | $4.85 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp | sell | 30.83 | $0.990 | $30.52 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp | buy | 30.42 | $0.640 | $19.47 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | sell | 52.81 | $0.999 | $52.76 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 41.22 | $0.970 | $39.98 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 11.54 | $0.860 | $9.93 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 107 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.