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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 165.92 | $0.975 | $161.77 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 161.77 |
| $0.943 |
| $152.55 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 147.4 | $0.944 | $139.12 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 147.41 | $0.972 | $143.28 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | buy | 100 | $0.979 | $97.9 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 133.55 | $0.973 | $129.94 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 14.26 | $0.940 | $13.4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Georgia vs. AlabamaGeorgia | buy | 5.07K | $0.530 | $2.69K | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 115.68 | $0.940 | $108.74 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?No | buy | 129.16 | $0.760 | $98.16 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 154.73 | $0.930 | $143.9 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.991 | $44.6 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?No | buy | 43.54 | $0.994 | $43.28 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 55.36 | $0.979 | $54.2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 142.08 | $0.992 | $140.94 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 140.94 | $0.986 | $138.9 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Yes | buy | 138.9 | $0.995 | $138.17 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 138.17 | $0.995 | $137.48 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 137.48 | $0.974 | $133.91 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 11?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.480 | $16.94 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 18.45 | $0.983 | $18.14 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | buy | 16.68 | $0.990 | $16.51 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No | buy | 88.54 | $0.985 | $87.21 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 18.11 | $0.991 | $17.95 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 121.69 | $0.977 | $118.89 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >10000 BTC June 3-9?No | buy | 118.9 | $0.954 | $113.43 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?Yes | buy | 113.42 | $0.950 | $107.75 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.997 | $14.67 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?No | buy | 14.67 | $0.974 | $14.29 | May 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.3 | $0.980 | $14.01 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 14.01 | $0.987 | $13.83 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 4K | $0.959 | $3.84K | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $79000 on Apr 25?No | buy | 13.83 | $0.998 | $13.8 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 4K | $0.959 | $3.84K | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 4K | $0.958 | $3.83K | Apr 24, 2025 |