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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2K | $0.510 | $950 | -$70 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.035 | $87.21 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1K |
| $0.360 |
| $535 |
| +$175 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.580 | $302.5 | +$12.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 500 | $0.464 | $262.5 | +$30.5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.250 | $235 | -$14.9 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.171 | $120.25 | +$34.75 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.145 | $14.3 | -$14.7 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.028 | $9.75 | -$4.25 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.194 |
| $19.4 |
| 4d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.030 | $30.04 | 9d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.060 | $60.07 | 10d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Yes | sell | 749.98 | $0.001 | $0.75 | 10d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.008 | $8.18 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.510 | $1.02K | 11d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.250 | $249.9 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.304 | $152.24 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.292 | $146.08 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.342 | $88.85 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 230.27 | $0.299 | $68.78 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 790 | $0.232 | $183.02 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.058 | $58.05 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.220 | $46.2 | 14d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.500 | $150 | 21d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.250 | $75 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.330 | $330 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.241 | $60.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 998.84 | $0.300 | $299.65 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.510 | $255 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.391 | $195.28 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.250 | $750 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.197 | $98.53 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.233 | $46.56 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.901 | $45.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.120 | $42 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.190 | $28.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?No | buy | 7.83 | $0.600 | $4.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.124 | $12.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.999 | $749.25 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.360 | $90 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.118 | $11.8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.293 | $146.43 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.003 | $0.25 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.009 | $4.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.248 | $61.91 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.043 | $10.75 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.037 | $1.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.370 | $18.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.121 | $30.25 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.020 | $40 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.087 | $8.75 | Jul 2, 2026 |