Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.033 | $1.32 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 8.77 |
| $0.947 |
| $8.31 |
| Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.240 | $60 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.211 | $8.44 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.340 | $10.2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 217.72 | $0.027 | $5.93 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 217.73 | $0.021 | $4.68 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.93 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.224 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.034 | $6.8 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.440 | $7.04 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.1 | $0.340 | $10.57 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.630 | $7 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 120.58 | $0.066 | $8 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.060 | $0.52 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.260 | $3.38 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.621 | $6.9 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 34.31 | $0.011 | $0.36 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.170 | $2.55 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.56 | $0.314 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Britt Lower (Severance) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.630 | $7 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.630 | $7 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.410 | $0.91 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.510 | $8.16 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 17.78 | $0.225 | $4 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.095 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |