Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 2:44 PM UTC.
Analytics
Conflagrate has made $124.44 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 2:44 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from May 27, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 19 2026?No | sell | 110.32 | $0.980 | $108.11 | 17m ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 14:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 14:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 14:44 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 14:26 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $342.36 and losing ones cost $71.3 across the latest 50 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $121.35 on “Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?” (No); the largest loss, $19.96 on “Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 64 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 9.79 |
| $0.980 |
| $9.59 |
| 1h ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 120.11 | $0.333 | $40 | 1d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?No | sell | 134.13 | $0.959 | $128.68 | 8d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?No | sell | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | 8d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?No | buy | 154.55 | $0.550 | $85 | 9d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026?No | sell | 110.31 | $0.150 | $16.55 | 9d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026?No | buy | 73.53 | $0.340 | $25 | 9d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026?No | buy | 36.79 | $0.272 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?No | sell | 215.85 | $0.807 | $174.23 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?No | buy | 215.85 | $0.232 | $50 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?Down | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?Up | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2PM ETDown | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | sell | 11.9 | $0.396 | $4.71 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12PM ETUp | sell | 14.3 | $0.460 | $6.58 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12PM ETUp | buy | 14.31 | $0.350 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?Down | sell | 83.33 | $0.140 | $11.67 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?Down | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.079 | $6.6 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?Yes | sell | 14.57 | $0.691 | $10.07 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?Yes | buy | 14.58 | $0.686 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?No | sell | 100.67 | $0.990 | $99.66 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?No | buy | 100.67 | $0.820 | $82.55 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?Down | sell | 9.61 | $0.960 | $9.23 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?Down | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?Down | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?Down | buy | 8.42 | $0.594 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp | sell | 2.27 | $0.800 | $1.82 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | sell | 8.77 | $0.540 | $4.74 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ETUp | sell | 14.7 | $0.350 | $5.15 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ETUp | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | sell | 4.34 | $0.350 | $1.52 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?No | sell | 3.15 | $0.950 | $2.99 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?No | sell | 4.2 | $0.950 | $3.99 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.